- Empire
- Posts
- đ The MAGA trade
đ The MAGA trade
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high as Trump won re-election
Brought to you by:
đŞ Make Bitcoin Great Again
It was a late night for many Americans, including yours truly, as we stayed up well past our bedtimes to watch the outcome of the election.
President-elect Donald Trump took the lead early on, with the early results playing out in his favor. But, as was proven as the night matured, it wasnât just a mirage. It felt like â as a non-political reporter who occasionally dabbles â there wasnât a single swing state with Harris securing a so-called easy win, even in counties that saw Biden, well, trump Trump last election.
Folks over on Crypto Twitter (sorry, X, but Crypto X just doesnât have the same ring to it) handed Trump the victory early on, following Polymarketâs odds which quickly saw Trump take a hefty lead over Harris.
đ¨ Trump odds hit 90% on Polymarket
â Blockworks (@Blockworks_)
3:16 AM ⢠Nov 6, 2024
In a pre-victory victory speech, Trump said that his campaign was the âgreatest political movement of all time.â
âWeâre going to help our country heal,â he added.
âWe made history for a reason tonight,â Trump said, alluding to a win that would happen just a few hours after his speech. âIâm excited to be your 47th and your 45th president.â
Trump said that a âstarâ was born in Tesla CEO Elon Musk, whoâs become a very vocal supporter of Trump this election.
âWe have to protect our geniuses, we donât have that many of them,â Trump added.
Meanwhile, we didnât hear from Vice President Kamala Harris last night. Instead, Harris co-chair Cedric Richmond told a crowd at Harris HQ that the votes were still being counted a couple of hours before Trump took the stage.
"We still have votes to count, we still have states that have not been called yet. we'll continue overnight to make sure that every vote is counted, that every voice has spoken .... so you won't hear from [VP Kamala Harris] tonight," Cedric Richmond said to the crowd at Harris⌠x.com/i/web/status/1âŚ
â Katherine Ross (@byKatherineRoss)
5:55 AM ⢠Nov 6, 2024
The enthusiasm was also evident in bitcoinâs price, which took off and carved out fresh all-time highs not once but twice in the same hour. Honestly, Iâll admit I was pretty surprised to see such a push after all of my conversations with analysts, who thought a Trump victory or lead could see a bump but perhaps not an all-time high. I donât think anyoneâs complaining though.
With the Trump win, âexpect a green light for crypto and an SEC power shuffle. Trumpâs pro-business stance means open doors, with CFTC oversight and a crypto-friendly regulatory landscape in reach,â Thesis general counsel Katherine Snow said.
The night definitely marked a win for the crypto voter, which was very much championed by Coinbaseâs CEO Brian Armstrong and CLO Paul Grewal.
I hope @SECGov understands what has happened tonight. On many, many issues, the voters said loud and clear that they want change. Crypto is no exception.
Stop suing crypto. Start talking to crypto. Initiate rulemaking now. There's no reason to wait.
â paulgrewal.eth (@iampaulgrewal)
5:12 AM ⢠Nov 6, 2024
The pro-crypto voters notched a few wins, whether you include the presidential race which could be argued as being a win for crypto given Trumpâs previous promises to remove SEC Chair Gary Gensler and potential pro-crypto policies â though to be clear, we have yet to see anything materialize on that front yet.
Letâs look at Ohioâs senate race, which saw pro-crypto Republican Bernie Moreno unseat anti-crypto Democrat Sherrod Brown.
Being anti-crypto is simply bad politics
â Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong)
5:15 AM ⢠Nov 6, 2024
A Fairshake-linked crypto super PAC, Defend American Jobs, was a big contributor to Moreno, supporting him with millions of dollars per FEC filings.
But it wasnât all wins, pro-crypto candidate John Deaton wasnât able to upset Senator Elizabeth Warren in their Massachusetts race despite millions of campaign donations.
It certainly was a long night, but now that the wait is over, itâll be interesting to see how everything plays out â and whether campaign promises are fulfilled.
â Katherine Ross
P.S. Can you do us a favor? Help us tailor Empire to best fit your interests. Fill out this survey.
Brought to you by:
Navigating the crypto world doesnât have to be complicated. With Uphold, you can buy, sell, exchange, store, and even earn on your assets â all in one simple platform.
Hereâs how Uphold helps:
Trade over 300 assets* â and be the first to access new tokens.
Enjoy seamless swaps, automatic recurring transactions for dollar-cost averaging, and advanced tools for smarter trading.
Secure your crypto with Vault, Upholdâs âAssistedâ Self-Custody solution.
Exclusive to U.S. users: Earn up to 4.9% APY on your USD with the USD Interest Account on Uphold. Turn idle funds into passive income while you plan your next trade.
Bitcoinâs holding on to $74,600, up nearly 9% according to Coinbase.
ETH topped $2,600, also up around 8% following Trumpâs reelection.
The market cap for Solana memecoins topped $12 billion, up over 29% in the last 24 hours per CoinGecko.
Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows totaling $116 million on Wednesday, with BlackRockâs IBIT notching $44 million in outflows.
In pre-market trading, mining stocks such as Riot are soaring after the election was called for Trump. RIOT and MARA are up over 10%.
âŹď¸ The Trump bump
Those who bet that a Trump victory â or at least the first inklings of one â would fuel a new all-time high for bitcoin were right.
Bitcoin markets soared just after 10 pm ET on election night, briefly surpassing $75,000. It was a remarkable move to correspond with a remarkable political comeback for Trump, who earlier this morning was projected to win enough Electoral College votes to become the 47th president of the United States.
According to TradingView data, bitcoin crossed $70K during the morning voting hours before slipping back beneath that level for much of the afternoon trade. As the polls closed on the East Coast, bitcoin regained that level and has held it since.
Source: TradingView
Over in equities, pre-market moves indicate that US indices will open in the green. The Dow appears poised to open up just over 3% as of the time of writing, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq primed to open 1.5% and 2.2%, respectively.
Crypto equities appear set for a strong performance today. Coinbase looks set to open up more than 12% at $217.8 after closing Tuesday at $193.96. MicroStrategyâs pre-market trading performance suggests a similarly strong open, up nearly 12%.
Perhaps the strongest market performer on Election Night was Polymarket, which had indicated a Trump win heading into the vote. Trumpâs odds hit 90% as bitcoinâs price crested and stayed above that level throughout the duration of the night. The election results hewed closer to the Polymarket odds than those of many polls heading into Election Day.
With this morningâs victory call, ThĂŠo, the French Polymarket whale, might have had the best night of all, having potentially more than doubled his $30 million stake.
â Michael McSweeney
Brought to you by:
Making money when $BTC pumps is cool.
Making money on $BTC all the time is even better đ
Exponential.fi makes earning yield 24/7 a breeze with a safe and gasless DeFi investment platform. Earn yield on BTC, ETH, stables, and even on-ramp your cash to USDC with no fee.
Get started today and enjoy 0% fees until Nov. 30.
DeFi tokens like Aave and Uniswap are soaring post-Trump victory due to a potentially more favorable environment.
Anthony Scaramucci thinks bitcoin tops $170,000 no matter whoâs in the Oval Office.
Financial institutions could build on Solana rather than Ethereum despite the formerâs memecoin reputation.
Animoca Brands expects Polymarket users to stick around even after the election market resolves.
If Trump ousts SEC Chair Gary Gensler, he may look to put Hester Peirce or Robinhoodâs Dan Gallagher in the top spot at the regulatory agency, Fortune reported.
Q: When will we see our next all-time high?
After what we saw last night, I think it could be just around the corner.
Itâs obvious now just how hungry some are for the move higher, so I wouldnât be surprised if we see bitcoin top $80,000 by the end of the month instead of the end of the year. Iâll caveat that Iâm not an analyst and this is just me speculating.
And Iâll also rain on my own parade and say that we probably need some sort of excuse to carve out a new all-time high. Whether we get that excuse this month or by the end of Q1, who knows?
What I can say is that the momentum is there when you tap in, and, boy, bitcoin is quick to react.
â Katherine Ross
Iâm inclined to agree with my colleague (see above) that a new ATH could be close at hand. As of the time of writing, the price is hovering around $74,400.
If youâre looking for catalysts, hereâs an easy one: Amid the post-vote celebrations, the next time Trump mentions crypto â especially the promised firing of Gary Gensler or the creation of a national bitcoin reserve â one can easily imagine a market pop on the accompanying euphoria.
Itâs that kind of market right now.
â Michael McSweeney